TLDR
- SOL price has declined for five consecutive days, reaching a low of $120.35
- A whale investor accumulated 195,000 SOL worth $23.2 million from major exchanges
- Technical charts show an approaching “death cross” with 50-day SMA about to cross below 200-day SMA
- Cumberland DRW staked over 48,000 SOL ($5.72 million)
- Some analysts predict a recovery to $150 despite current market weakness
Solana has experienced a sharp decline in recent trading sessions. The popular cryptocurrency fell to levels not seen since last September as broader market sentiment turned negative.
The sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization dipped to $120.35 on Monday. This marked the fifth straight day of losses for the token since March 6th.
Data shows SOL dropped 9.11% in 24 hours and over 23% for the week. This decline coincides with weakness across the entire cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin also suffered losses during this period. The leading cryptocurrency fell below $80,000, touching lows of $76,000 on Tuesday amid growing economic concerns.
Death Cross
Technical analysts have noted a concerning pattern forming on Solana’s price charts. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is approaching a crossover below the 200-day SMA.
This pattern, known as a “death cross,” typically signals bearish momentum. The 50-day SMA currently sits at $188.71 while the 200-day SMA is at $184.03.
When shorter-term averages cross below longer-term ones, it often indicates weakening price strength. However, historical data shows mixed results following such patterns.
The last time Solana experienced a death cross was in September 2024. Interestingly, that pattern marked a bottom before prices began to recover.
Within two months after that previous death cross, SOL reached highs of $264. This happened after the formation of a “golden cross,” the opposite pattern where shorter averages cross above longer ones.
Market observers are watching key support levels should SOL continue to decline. Important price zones include $109 and $88, which could attract buyers if reached.
Whale Movements
Despite the negative price action, on-chain data reveals interesting developments. A large holder, commonly called a “whale,” made major moves during the dip.
According to data from Lookonchain, this whale withdrew 195,000 SOL from exchanges including Bybit, OKX, and Gateio. This accumulation represents approximately $23.2 million worth of tokens.
Many analysts interpret large withdrawals from exchanges as bullish signals. When investors move cryptocurrency off exchanges, it often indicates an intention to hold rather than sell.
Adding to this potential positive signal, Cumberland DRW staked 48,182 SOL. This staking activity, worth about $5.72 million, removes tokens from circulation.
The combination of whale accumulation and increased staking has generated optimism among some traders. These actions suggest confidence in Solana’s long-term prospects despite short-term weakness.
Several analysts have shared positive outlooks for SOL. One trader identified as “Coinvo” suggested Solana appears to be repeating its 2021 pattern, which preceded a major bull run.
Another market commentator known as “Lucky” identified a strong demand zone between $110-$127. This trader suggested even a small positive market movement could push SOL above $150.
The current market weakness extends beyond cryptocurrencies. Traditional markets have also faced pressure as Federal Reserve rate cut expectations diminish.
New tariff announcements from the Trump administration have increased recession fears. Some estimates put U.S. recession probability at 40%, creating headwinds for risk assets.
U.S. equity markets showed weakness as investors sought safer alternatives. This broader risk-off sentiment has affected cryptocurrencies, which often correlate with other risk assets.
As of the latest data, SOL was trading near $123, showing modest recovery from recent lows. The 24-hour trading range saw a bottom at $113.19 and a peak at $131.24.
Traders will be watching closely to see if Solana’s price action follows its previous pattern from September 2024. That earlier death cross actually preceded a strong rally.
Whether the current technical pattern leads to further decline or marks a turning point remains uncertain. The actions of large holders suggest some smart money sees the current dip as a buying opportunity.
