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Gemini’s exchange business is shrinking. Its regulatory licenses may be the real prize

J_News by J_News
September 20, 2026
in Crypto, Top News
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Gemini’s exchange business is shrinking. Its regulatory licenses may be the real prize
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Gemini Space Station (GEMI), a crypto platform, has seen its price drop roughly 80% since its public debut, reviving questions about whether the platform founded by the billionaire Winklevoss twins could eventually become an acquisition target.

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Lorenzo Valente, director of digital assets research at ARK Invest, argued in a post on X last month that Hyperliquid, the offshore perpetual-trading platform, should acquire Gemini and use it as a regulated U.S. gateway for perpetual futures and prediction markets, with the Winklevoss twins’ concentrated voting control potentially simplifying the deal.

Gemini stock performance since IPO (CoinDesk)

Is Gemini a viable target?

While there is no indication that Hyperliquid is actively pursuing a deal to buy Gemini, Valente’s proposal raises a broader question: What is Gemini’s value proposition to a potential buyer if its regulatory infrastructure is worth more than its shrinking spot-exchange business?

Currently, the stock’s market cap is $753 million, down from about $4 billion at its peak. Gemini’s second-quarter exchange revenue fell 38% from a year earlier to $12.5 million, while spot trading volume dropped 66% to $3.8 billion, and assets on the platform declined to $8.4 billion from $18.2 billion.



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