TLDR
- Fed Governor Lisa Cook said rate hikes remain possible if inflation does not continue easing.
- The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% at its latest meeting.
- Cook said inflation risks currently outweigh risks to the labor market and require close monitoring.
- June PCE inflation stood at 3.7%, remaining well above the Fed’s 2% target.
- Cook expects tariff, oil, and AI-related price pressures to ease but remains ready to act if needed.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said the US central bank is prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not continue moving lower. Her comments come as policymakers keep rates unchanged while monitoring price pressures and broader economic conditions.
Cook Says Inflation Remains the Primary Concern
Lisa Cook said inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target and continues to present the greater risk to the economy compared with employment. She stated that policymakers are prepared to tighten monetary policy if inflation fails to show additional progress.
Cook said,
“If I do not see signs of continued disinflation soon, I am prepared to act by raising rates, if necessary.” She added that “I would support an increase, if it becomes necessary, to bring inflation down. It may not.”
The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% during its latest policy meeting. Cook supported holding rates steady while officials assess incoming economic data and the effects of recent inflation drivers.
She noted that inflation has remained above the Fed’s target for several years, increasing the risk that higher prices could become embedded in wage negotiations and business pricing decisions.
Tariffs, Oil Prices and AI Costs Remain Under Watch
Cook said several factors that have supported inflation could ease over the coming months. She pointed to tariffs, higher oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, and increased investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure as areas that could gradually place less pressure on consumer prices.
She said policymakers expect some of the inflation created by earlier tariff measures to fade as year-over-year comparisons change. Forecasts for lower oil prices later this year could also reduce inflationary pressure if energy markets stabilize.
Cook added that supply chain improvements may help lower the cost of AI-related components over time. Because of these developments, she said officials believed it was appropriate to leave rates unchanged while monitoring how these factors evolve.
However, she warned,
“Inflation may become entrenched in price- and wage-setting behavior,” adding that “while we might be able to afford to wait for longer in a different environment, we do not have that luxury in this one.”
Fed Officials Continue to Debate Next Policy Move
The latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting ended with the benchmark rate unchanged, although three policymakers dissented in favor of an immediate rate increase. The split reflected growing concern among some officials that inflation remains too high.
Recent remarks from several Federal Reserve officials have also indicated a willingness to raise rates if inflation does not continue to moderate. At the same time, Chair Kevin Warsh has avoided providing guidance on the timing of future policy decisions.
Bloomberg reported that policymakers remain focused on incoming inflation and labor market data before deciding whether additional tightening is needed. June’s Personal Consumption Expenditures price index showed annual inflation at 3.7%, while core inflation measured 3.3%, both remaining well above the Federal Reserve’s long-term objective.
Cook also said consumer confidence continues to be affected by elevated prices. She added that widespread predictions of large-scale job losses from artificial intelligence have not yet materialized, although the technology continues to present longer-term uncertainties for the labor market.
