TLDR
- XRP is approaching a critical technical zone with multiple bullish indicators aligning.
- The asset has formed a large cup pattern with a base at $1.61 and is nearing the rim resistance.
- A descending trendline from the January peak continues to act as resistance for XRP.
- XRP is currently trading inside a thin Ichimoku Cloud which suggests a possible breakout is near.
- Several EMAs are tightly clustere, indicating market compression and the potential for sharp price movement.
XRP approaches a decisive technical point as price activity compresses across several key indicators. Analyst observations suggest that a breakout is imminent, supported by multiple converging signals. The asset trades near $2.16, with bullish formations setting the stage for a significant movement.
XRP Tests Resistance as Cup Forms
Since peaking at $3.40 in January 2025, XRP has been moving within a broad corrective structure. By early April, the token had bottomed out at $1.61, creating the base of a potential cup pattern. Prices have since curved upward and now trade close to the cup’s rim, which acts as a resistance barrier.
The current price structure clearly aligns with the descending resistance trendline that originated from the January peak. This line has restricted several rally attempts and remains intact. However, XRP is once again testing this barrier while supported by bullish structural signals.
#XRP is about to remove the Tension soon. The price is close to the conjunction of the trend lines, the Fibonacci level, and the Cup Surface.
Exponential Moving Averages are tight, and the trend line is squeezed.
Targets: $2.22, $3.61 short term.
Supports: $2.0706Cup is… pic.twitter.com/ErpRR5hSXs
— Dark Defender (@DefendDark) June 18, 2025
Market behavior around the rim reflects critical resistance pressure, as the price meets historical rejection levels. Yet, this time, the presence of a defined cup formation increases the probability of a continuation move. The narrowing space between support and resistance adds to the overall technical tension.
Ichimoku Cloud and EMA Compression Signal Volatility
The Ichimoku Cloud spans February to June, with XRP now trading inside a very thin cloud segment. Thin clouds often suggest weakened support or resistance, increasing the likelihood of fast directional moves. As a result, the current position within the cloud is seen as a volatile zone.
A breakout from the thin cloud layer may lead to a rapid expansion in price action. The lack of cloud depth allows either bulls or bears to seize control quickly. Currently, the market remains undecided, but the setup favors a resolution.
Adding to the momentum is the tight clustering of multiple Exponential Moving Averages in the $2.10 to $2.20 range. Such compression reflects market indecision but also historically precedes sharp directional moves. As the EMAs overlap more tightly, tension in the market continues to build.
Fibonacci Levels Confirm a High-Confluence Zone
The Fibonacci retracement levels mapped from the January high provide additional context to current price pressures. XRP now trades just under the 61.8% level at $2.1958 and below the 70.2% level at $2.2895. Meanwhile, the 50% retracement level at $2.0706 serves as a firm support.
These levels form a critical zone where resistance and support stack closely together. The price hovering in this narrow band further confirms the high confluence zone identified by analysts. A breakout past $2.22 may unlock momentum toward higher targets.
Market analyst projections include near-term targets of $2.22 and $3.61, while emphasizing $2.0706 as a key support. The technical combination of Fibonacci zones, trendline resistance, the Ichimoku Cloud, and EMA bands underscores an imminent shift. Traders are watching this zone for confirmation of direction.