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August Will Be Bullish. September Could Get Ugly. Here’s the Game Plan. | by CK. Jonas | The Capital | Aug, 2025

J_News by J_News
August 6, 2025
in Crypto Technical Analysis, Top News
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August Will Be Bullish. September Could Get Ugly. Here’s the Game Plan. | by CK. Jonas | The Capital | Aug, 2025
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Lessons from Cardano (ADA)

In 2021, Cardano (ADA) topped out at $3 between August 30 and September 1. Meanwhile, other coins were still flying, but ADA was done. Many investors held, staked, and even bought the top, thinking it was heading to $10. But it never did. See the ADA-USD chart below.

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Zoom image will be displayed

During the peak when everyone else was excited, smart investors rotated profits into other projects and rode the wave until the entire market collapsed. That’s our plan and strategy in the next few months.

So…

No matter the altcoins in your portfolio, plan your exit ahead. Because if you hold too long, you’ll miss it and end up holding worthless tokens.

I know many are saying, “This cycle is different.”
Some believe in a mythical “super-cycle” that will extend forever.

But here’s my response: I don’t care about the “super-cycle” thesis.

Yes, I could be wrong! But I’m not here to be right. I’m here to be rich — and to help you get out before the rug is pulled.

Heading into Q4, we will take profits along the way and stay level-headed. That’s how you survive the back half of a bull market. And that’s when altcoins would go parabolic.

Need help picking the right altcoins? Click here to download the 2025 AltSeason Blueprint, where we reveal the exact coins we’re betting on.

Let’s move on as I share…

In 2021, Bitcoin gave us fake hope. After the May crash, it bounced with strong candles in July, August, and October. That made us believe $100K was coming. See the arrow in the BTC-USD monthly chart below.

Zoom image will be displayed

(BTC-USD Monthly chart)

Then came the trap.

Instead of going parabolic, market makers dumped it.

BTC barely broke its May high, then reversed. Altcoins followed.

Everyone who once shouted “diamond hands” quietly turned into accidental long-term HODLers.

Some sold at a loss and never recovered. So, don’t be that guy in 2025.

Remember, everyone said 2021 would break the 4-year cycle. It didn’t. So, stick with the cycle thesis until it’s broken.

The truth is, AltSason moves fast…

One week, you’re a genius.

The next, you’re wrecked.

You never want to be too euphoric on the way up, or too broken on the way down.

The whales play this game with zero emotion and ruthless discipline. And that’s our strategy!

We’ve held patiently since early 2023, and now we’ve diversified into key low-caps. So, don’t mess it up now. However, a pullback could be right at the corner. And it’s time to talk about it.

You may be asking: “Is there any downside left before the anticipated parabolic phase?”

Well, our momentum indicator hasn’t flashed a major weekly warning yet (see the chart below). But September is historically a red month in post-halving years.

Zoom image will be displayed

(My BTC-USD price projection chart)

Maybe this time, it’ll follow tradition.

Historically, August has always been bullish in Bitcoin’s post-halving year. In that case, mid-to-late August might be your best opportunity to take partial profits and buy back in September (if you care about that).

But there’s a catch…

You might miss the start of the final explosive run in Q4.

Now, here’s an interesting fact…

The chart below shows Bitcoin’s monthly closes across cycles.

In 2017, we saw only 3 red months: January, March, and September. But in 2021, we saw 6 red months and six green.

So far in 2025, we’ve only had two red candles (Feb, March), and four straight green months from April through July. This pattern is similar to 2017, when Bitcoin printed five consecutive green months from April to August. See the blue boxes in the screenshot below.

Zoom image will be displayed

(Bullish April to August. Source: Coinglass)

If this pattern holds, August could be another green candle — and the start of a massive Q4 rally. But are you still bullish or bearish?

Now, let’s talk about…

September may shake people out again like it did in previous cycles.

In 2017, Bitcoin pulled back in September — only to rip higher in October, November, and December, delivering massive returns for those who stayed in position.

And if history repeats, we’ll see something similar in Q4 2025. See the chart below.

Zoom image will be displayed

(Source: Coinglass, Bearish September)

Though Bitcoin may peak in Q4, altcoins would run hard into 2026. While altcoins often top out in Q1, that’s also where most investors get trapped.

They start recycling profits into new coins, believing the bull run has more room. And that’s when the trapdoor opens. So…

We’re not naïve, pretending the market will move in a straight line. No.

In fact, we’ve seen bearish divergence on Bitcoin’s daily chart. Our momentum indicator made a lower low while the price made a higher high. That’s a warning.

We may get one final scary pullback before the next leg up. See the chart below.

Zoom image will be displayed

So here’s the deal:

If you can’t stomach another dip, reduce exposure. But if you believe this is the last major dip before the big breakout, hold firm and manage risk. Either way, it’s time to act smart — not emotional.

Our team has already done this, guided by the strategies inside the 2025 AltSeason Blueprint.

You’re not here by accident.

But time is running out fast. Don’t sleep on this information. Restructure your portfolio now — or get left behind. Wondering how?

👉 Download the 2025 AltSeason Blueprint and align yourself with the data, not the drama.

This is your moment.

Let’s make the most of it.

Thanks for reading.

Want Our Brain in Your Pocket? Download the Crypto Traders’ Handbook to master technical analysis and chart patterns.



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