TLDR
- Bitcoin dominance must break below 60% to trigger true altcoin season, which typically marks the final phase of crypto bull runs
- Analysts recommend buying altcoins only when RSI drops below 25-30 on 4-hour or daily timeframes, indicating extreme oversold conditions
- Gold’s failure to break $3,365 resistance could spark an altcoin rally, while a gold breakout might cause altcoin corrections
- Bitcoin dominance is currently in a mean reversion zone, suggesting potential shift from Bitcoin to altcoin capital flows
- Major altcoin surge expected between September and December 2025 based on historical seasonal patterns
Market analysts are tracking Bitcoin dominance and gold resistance levels as key indicators for the next altcoin season. Recent analysis suggests specific conditions must align before alternative cryptocurrencies begin their expected major rally.
Crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards emphasizes that true altcoin season occurs only when Bitcoin dominance breaks below 60%. This metric currently trades within a defined channel, indicating the market remains in early to mid-phase of the bull run. Bitcoin continues to attract institutional capital before funds rotate into smaller cryptocurrencies.
#Altcoins and #Bitcoin Dominance
“When Altseason, Ser?”
Every couple of weeks the same narrative: “Altseason is here!” I’ve fallen for this myself and been proven wrong multiple times. That’s the truth, posted moon charts here as well.
However, I know the time will come, the… https://t.co/aBmXnbYEdc pic.twitter.com/uf6YArwDcA
— Stockmoney Lizards (@StockmoneyL) June 8, 2025
The analyst warns against premature altcoin buying based on hype. Instead, strategic accumulation should occur only at extreme oversold levels when the Relative Strength Index drops below 25-30 on 4-hour or daily timeframes. These conditions typically produce 50% to 200% rebounds in altcoin prices.
Gold Price Impact on Crypto Markets
Analyst Michaël van de Poppe identifies gold’s performance near $3,365 resistance as a critical factor for altcoin direction. Gold’s failure to break this level could trigger capital rotation into risk assets including altcoins. A gold breakout above resistance might cause altcoin corrections as investors move to traditional safe havens.
Update on the Gold chart at the start of the week.
It did test the resistance zone and failed to break through it.
First signs on #Altcoins? They started to rally massively.
Monitoring this chart in the upcoming week as we’re facing a pivotal moment.
– Breaking through… pic.twitter.com/MuB8EGBfrm
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) June 10, 2025
This correlation between gold and digital assets reflects broader market sentiment. When gold struggles at resistance, risk appetite often increases, benefiting alternative cryptocurrencies. The relationship demonstrates how traditional financial markets influence crypto pricing dynamics.
Bitcoin Dominance Signals Market Shift
Analyst Ahmed, known as CryptoBheem, updates his altcoin market cap outlook following recent price action. The total altcoin market cap bottomed at $800 billion rather than his earlier $750 billion target. This revision reflects stronger support levels than initially expected.
#TOTAL3 update:
It bottomed at $800B & I’ve been slightly off with the $750B bottom target.
From here wether $750-700B comes or not is dependent on dominance. It’s inside an area of extremely big levels of mean reversion.
Summing it up all together, from what I’ve been… https://t.co/wUpxM3Ngii pic.twitter.com/gytWYFwUHY
— Ahmed (@CryptoBheem) June 10, 2025
Bitcoin dominance currently sits within a mean reversion zone. This technical position suggests either further altcoin weakness or the start of a new upward cycle. The dominance metric tracks capital allocation between Bitcoin and alternative cryptocurrencies.
Historical patterns show altcoin seasons typically begin when Bitcoin dominance falls from elevated levels. Institutional investors usually build Bitcoin positions first before rotating capital into higher-risk altcoins. This progression creates predictable market cycles.
Ahmed maintains his February projection for altcoin season timing. He expects the next major altcoin cycle to begin between September and December 2025. This timeline aligns with historical seasonal patterns in cryptocurrency markets.
The analyst suggests current market conditions favor accumulation strategies. Altcoin prices remain subdued following recent corrections, creating entry opportunities for patient investors. Position sizing may matter more than precise entry timing over the next six months.
Both analysts agree the current setup presents accumulation opportunities. Low sentiment and oversold technical conditions historically precede major altcoin rallies. Disciplined investors who wait for extreme readings may benefit from the next cycle.
Market participants should monitor Bitcoin dominance for breaks below 60% and gold price action near key resistance levels. These indicators could signal the timing of significant capital rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies during late 2025.
